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⚽ Football Track Record · Last 30 days

51.8%

Result Accuracy

Across 436 settled predictions since Mar 2026. We picked the winning side (or correct draw) roughly 52 times in every 100 matches.

How we compare
Random guess
33%
Always home team
46%
CleverScores
51.8%
Bookmaker fave
52–55%

📈 Model evolution weekly hit rates · all-time view, ignores period filter

Every settled prediction since launch, grouped by week. The shaded band shows result accuracy; the orange line shows exact-score hits. Engine improvements show up as a rising trend over time.

Result %
Exact Score %
14 weeks of data
The trajectory: Average result accuracy has moved from 42.4% in our first three weeks to 52.5% in our most recent three — a +10.1 point shift. Exact-score hits have moved +2.8 points over the same window. We show the bad weeks too — they're part of the story.

📊 Our four scoring markets Last 30 days · 436 predictions

We score every prediction across four markets, each with its own difficulty. Random baselines shown for context.

Result
51.8%
Picked the winner or correct draw.
Random
33%
Us
51.8%
Exact Score
13.5%
Predicted scoreline matched exactly. Random is ~3%.
Random
3%
Us
13.5%
Both Teams Score
54.6%
Did both teams score? Random is ~50%.
Random
50%
Us
54.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
55.3%
Did total goals top 2.5? Random is ~50%.
Random
50%
Us
55.3%

🔥 Recent daily form last 14 days · live data

Day-by-day result accuracy. Includes today if any predictions have settled.

Thu 28 May
50%
4 picks
Fri 29 May
25%
12 picks
Sat 30 May
71%
7 picks
Sun 31 May
65%
17 picks
Mon 1 Jun
33%
6 picks
Tue 2 Jun
67%
6 picks
Wed 3 Jun
38%
8 picks
Thu 4 Jun
55%
11 picks
Fri 5 Jun
42%
19 picks
Sat 6 Jun
70%
23 picks
Sun 7 Jun
83%
12 picks
Mon 8 Jun
80%
5 picks
Tue 9 Jun
44%
18 picks
Wed 10 Jun
33%
3 picks

🏆 Where we're strongest top leagues · 20+ predictions · Last 30 days

📉 Where we struggle most honest disclosure · 20+ predictions

Lower-tier leagues, knockout cups, and competitions with high squad rotation are genuinely harder to model. We show this honestly because hiding it wouldn't make it less true.

🎯 Confidence calibration do high-confidence picks land more often?

Every prediction gets a confidence label: High, Medium, or Low. If High beats Medium beats Low, the model knows when it knows.

High
57.1% 28 picks
Medium
55.3% 320 picks
Low
37.5% 88 picks

A note on honesty. The numbers above are computed live from our prediction database every time you visit this page. We don't curate, hide bad runs, or quietly drop losing predictions. Every match prediction we've ever logged sits in the dataset, settled or not.

No prediction is a guarantee. Past performance doesn't predict future results — football is genuinely unpredictable, that's why it's fun to follow. Predictions are for information and entertainment only. If you bet, never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. Gambling can be addictive. BeGambleAware.org.