Anderlecht vs St. Truiden

Thu 21 May 2026

Final Score

3 – 1

Our prediction missed

✗ Result

✗ Exact score

✓ BTTS

✓ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

1 – 2

Away Win Medium

Anderlecht

43%

Draw

17%

St. Truiden

40%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 14 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Anderlecht Win	11/10 2.13	44%	43%	-1%
Draw	11/4 3.70	26%	17%	-9%
St. Truiden Win Value	2/1 3.10	30%	40%	+10%

1 value market identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

⚡ Stakes & Context

🆘 Anderlecht in relegation danger (P4/6)
🎯 St. Truiden chasing top-2 (P3)

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Anderlecht poor at home (DLLWL), low attack output 1.54 avg scored; St. Truiden better recent form with key wins in last 5
H2H: 6 Anderlecht wins historically but most recent meeting was a 2-0 St. Truiden away victory — significant momentum shift
Stakes: Anderlecht desperately need points to avoid relegation but poor home form undermines this; St. Truiden highly motivated chasing top-2
Betting: BTTS supported by both teams having attacking output and Anderlecht's defensive weakness; Over 2.5 supported by xG model (2.01 vs 2.15) and H2H avg of 2.8 goals

⚔️ Head to Head

Anderlecht historically dominant in this fixture (6W/1D/1L) but the most recent meeting saw St. Truiden win 2-0 away, suggesting a momentum reversal that aligns with current season form disparity.

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: Yes
Anderlecht are conceding nearly 2.5 goals per game and despite their struggles will push forward due to relegation pressure, making it highly likely they find the net at least once. St. Truiden's attack has been productive in recent wins (4-1, 2-1, 2-0) and their xG of 2.15 supports scoring multiple times in this fixture.

Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The predicted scoreline of 1-2 produces exactly 3 total goals, supporting the over 2.5 outcome. Combined xG of 4.16, H2H average of 2.8 goals per game, Anderlecht's leaky defence, and St. Truiden's in-form attack all point to a game exceeding the 2.5 goals threshold.

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org