Benin vs Niger
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 9 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benin Win | 11/10 2.10 | 44% | 34% | -10% |
| Draw Value | 9/4 3.28 | 28% | 42% | +14% |
| Niger Win | 5/2 3.40 | 28% | 24% | -4% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Benin averaging 0.63 goals scored but 1.61 conceded; Niger averaging 1.01 scored and only 0.67 conceded with 44% win rate
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: International friendly with nothing on the line for either side — draw outcome strongly favoured in low-motivation contexts
Betting: BTTS supported by Niger's consistent scoring away and Benin's defensive vulnerability; Under 2.5 supported by low xG values (0.79 and 0.75) and friendly context reducing intensity
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Niger have scored in most recent outings including a 4-3 result and show a healthy 1.01 average goals per game, giving them a good chance to score away. Benin, despite poor overall form, have managed goals at home and their defensive record (1.61 conceded) suggests Niger will find space to convert at least once.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
Total goals of 3 in the projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal line. The engine sees enough attacking output combined between the two sides.