Bolivia vs Scotland
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 12 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolivia Win Value | 6/1 7.50 | 13% | 30% | +17% |
| Draw Value | 7/2 4.65 | 20% | 42% | +22% |
| Scotland Win | 2/5 1.39 | 67% | 28% | -39% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Both teams averaging 1 goal scored and 1 conceded per game — balanced recent output
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: International friendly with no points on the line — low motivation dampens attacking intent for both sides
Betting: BTTS supported by both teams' consistent goal-scoring averages; under 2.5 goals expected given low xG values (0.79 and 0.75) and friendly context
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The 1-1 scoreline projects both teams scoring. The engine's underlying probability model gives both sides enough offensive output to find the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
With xG values of just 0.79 and 0.75 respectively and a friendly context removing competitive urgency, the total expected goals sit well below 2.5. Both teams are likely to manage rather than push, keeping this under the 2.5 threshold.