Bolton vs Stockport County
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 14 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Win Value | 13/8 2.58 | 36% | 50% | +14% |
| Draw | 2/1 3.04 | 30% | 26% | -4% |
| Stockport County Win | 7/4 2.80 | 34% | 24% | -10% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 😴 Bolton mid-table (P5) — low motivation
- 🎯 Stockport County chasing top-2 (P3)
- 📊 Learning: draw probability nudged higher based on League One history
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Bolton home record WLDWD is solid; Stockport away record WWDWLD shows consistent road quality. H2H: 3.8 avg goals per game, Stockport have dominated historically (4 wins in last 8) but the April 2026 meeting ended 2-2 at Bolton. Stakes: Stockport chasing top-2 are heavily motivated; Bolton mid-table with low motivation but home comfort. Betting: BTTS supported by both teams' scoring records and H2H history; Over 2.5 favoured given 3.8 H2H average and Stockport's attacking intent.
⚔️ Head to Head
Stockport have won 4 of the last 8 meetings and Bolton just 1, but the most recent head-to-head at Bolton's ground ended 2-2 in April 2026, and H2H games average 3.8 goals — pointing firmly toward a goal-heavy encounter.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Both teams are very likely to score: Bolton average 1.81 goals scored at home and Stockport's attack has been potent (1.99 avg goals, strong away form), while H2H meetings have consistently featured goals at both ends, including the recent 2-2 draw.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
Over 2.5 goals is strongly supported by the H2H average of 3.8 goals per game, Stockport's motivated attacking play chasing promotion, and Bolton's home attacking output — a combined total of 3 goals aligns comfortably with historical and current-season trends.