Cape Verde Islands vs Serbia
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 11 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cape Verde Islands Win | 15/8 2.85 | 33% | 27% | -6% |
| Draw Value | 5/2 3.60 | 26% | 42% | +16% |
| Serbia Win | 5/4 2.28 | 41% | 31% | -10% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Cape Verde averaging 0.99 goals scored with a strong draw tendency; Serbia balanced at 1.0/1.0 goals scored/conceded
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: International friendly — low competitive pressure favours conservative, draw-leaning play
Betting: BTTS supported by Serbia's consistent scoring and Cape Verde's ability to find the net even in draws; Under 2.5 supported by Cape Verde's defensive solidity (0.75 conceded avg) and the low-intensity friendly context
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — no reliable H2H history available to influence prediction direction
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Serbia have shown a consistent ability to score (1.0 avg goals per game) and Cape Verde, despite their defensive solidity, have scored in their recent draws (1-1 appearing multiple times in last five results), making it plausible both sides find the net in a competitive but low-stakes friendly.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
With Cape Verde averaging under 1.0 goals scored and conceding only 0.75 per game, and Serbia equally measured in attack, the combined xG of just 1.54 strongly points toward a tight game under 2.5 goals total — the friendly context further reduces the likelihood of an open, high-scoring affair.