Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia

Sun 31 May 2026

Final Score

2 – 1

Our prediction got the result right

✓ Result

✓ Exact score

✓ BTTS

✓ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

2 – 1

Home Win Medium

Ecuador

77%

Draw

14%

Saudi Arabia

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 12 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Ecuador Win Value	8/15 1.52	61%	77%	+16%
Draw	11/4 3.80	25%	14%	-11%
Saudi Arabia Win	6/1 6.96	14%	9%	-5%

1 value market identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

⚡ Stakes & Context

⏱️ Rest advantage: Ecuador (192d) vs Saudi Arabia (163d) — Ecuador significantly fresher

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Ecuador WDDD with low concession rate; Saudi Arabia inconsistent away (WLWD)
H2H: Limited historical data between these sides
Stakes: Friendly context reduces desperation but Ecuador are strong home favourites at 66% implied probability
Betting: BTTS unlikely given Saudi Arabia's poor attacking output away from home; Under 2.5 is plausible but Ecuador's high xG pushes total toward 2 goals exactly

⚔️ Head to Head

Limited data — insufficient H2H history to draw meaningful trend conclusions

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: Yes
The 2-1 scoreline projects both teams scoring. The engine's underlying probability model gives both sides enough offensive output to find the net.

Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
Total goals of 3 in the projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal line. The engine sees enough attacking output combined between the two sides.

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org