Egypt vs Russia

Thu 28 May 2026

Final Score

1 – 0

Our prediction missed

✗ Result

✗ Exact score

✓ BTTS

✓ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

0 – 0

Draw Medium

Egypt

39%

Draw

28%

Russia

33%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 4 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Egypt Win	11/8 2.39	40%	39%	-1%
Draw	9/4 3.14	31%	28%	-3%
Russia Win	9/4 3.33	29%	33%	+4%

No value markets in this fixture — our model and the bookmakers broadly agree on the 1X2 outcome.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

⚡ Stakes & Context

⏱️ Rest advantage: Russia (193d) vs Egypt (130d) — Russia significantly fresher

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Egypt avg 1.25 scored/0.98 conceded at home; Russia avg 2.21 scored/0.95 conceded away
H2H: Limited historical data available
Stakes: International friendly — moderate motivation, no competitive pressure from either side
Betting: Home 42% / Away 31% implies a competitive match; BTTS supported by both teams' recent scoring; Over 2.5 backed by model xG totals of 5.73 combined

⚔️ Head to Head

Limited data — insufficient H2H history to draw meaningful trend; defaulting to form and model outputs

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: No
Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Egypt have scored in recent home wins (3-2, 3-1) while Russia have netted freely (4-1, 3-0, 2-1) and concede sparingly, suggesting a competitive open game where both sides find the net.

Over 2.5 Goals: No
Combined xG of 5.73 and Poisson top scorelines all featuring 4+ goals strongly support over 2.5; Russia's 2.21 goals-per-game average and Egypt's attacking home record make a low-scoring game unlikely.

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org