Georgia vs Romania

Tue 2 Jun 2026

Final Score

1 – 1

Our prediction missed

✗ Result

✗ Exact score

✗ BTTS

✓ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

1 – 0

Home Win Medium

Georgia

33%

Draw

38%

Romania

29%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Georgia Win	11/10 2.15	43%	33%	-10%
Draw Value	9/4 3.30	28%	38%	+10%
Romania Win	9/4 3.30	29%	29%	±0%

1 value market identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Georgia solid at home (DW, 1-1, 1-0), Romania poor away (L) with two losses in last three. Avg goals: Georgia 0.76 scored / 0.4 conceded; Romania 0.73 scored / 1.39 conceded.
H2H: Limited data available.
Stakes: Pre-tournament friendly with no competitive stakes — motivation is moderate for both sides, but Georgia benefit from home crowd and stronger recent defensive record.
Betting: BTTS unlikely given Georgia's miserly defence (0.4 conceded avg) and Romania's low away-game output. Under 2.5 goals strongly favoured given both xG values below 0.80 and friendly context reducing intensity.

⚔️ Head to Head

Limited data

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: No
Romania are unlikely to score given Georgia's exceptional defensive record of just 0.4 goals conceded per game and Romania's poor away form. Romania's attack has not been able to unlock defences on the road, making a clean sheet for Georgia the most probable outcome.

Over 2.5 Goals: No
Both xG values are low (Georgia 0.79, Romania 0.75) and the friendly context reduces overall intensity. Georgia's defensive record of 0.4 goals conceded per game further suppresses total expected goals, making under 2.5 goals the clear lean for this fixture.

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org