Indonesia vs Oman
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 11 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indonesia Win | 6/5 2.20 | 42% | 33% | -9% |
| Draw Value | 2/1 3.10 | 30% | 42% | +12% |
| Oman Win | 9/4 3.34 | 28% | 25% | -3% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Indonesia: DW at home (scored 6, conceded 0 in last 2); Oman: LDWD away (mixed results, avg 1.01 goals scored per game)
H2H: Limited historical data available
Stakes: International friendly — moderate motivation, no competitive pressure for either side; both squads fully available
Betting: BTTS supported by both teams having attacking output but Oman's defensive solidity (0.84 conceded avg) and Indonesia's varied home record suggest a cautious, low-scoring affair; Under 2.5 favoured given xG totals of 0.79 and 0.75 and the friendly nature reducing intensity
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — insufficient H2H history to identify a strong trend between these two sides.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The 1-1 scoreline projects both teams scoring. The engine's underlying probability model gives both sides enough offensive output to find the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The combined xG of just 1.54 and the friendly context with moderate motivation point firmly toward under 2.5 goals. Both teams are evenly matched and the statistical model places 0-0 and 1-0 as the top scorelines, reinforcing that a tight, low-scoring game is the most probable outcome with total goals not exceeding two.