Iran vs Mali
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Iran DDWLLDWW with solid defence; Mali LDDDDDLWWD — low-scoring, draw-heavy recent run
H2H: Limited historical data between these sides
Stakes: Friendly fixture with no competitive pressure, reducing motivation for high-risk attacking play from both sides
Betting: BTTS unlikely given Mali's low xG (0.75) and Iran's strong defensive record; Under 2.5 goals favoured given both teams' cautious recent profiles and the low-stakes friendly context
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — insufficient H2H history to draw meaningful trends
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
Mali are unlikely to score given their low xG of 0.75, Iran's defensive solidity (0.56 conceded per game), and a friendly context that encourages Iran to maintain shape. Mali's attack has struggled to convert in recent outings, making a clean sheet for Iran a realistic outcome.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
Both teams have been low-scoring in recent fixtures — Iran averaging just 1 goal scored and Mali 0.88. The friendly nature of the match reduces urgency, and with Mali's xG at only 0.75, the total goals are likely to stay under 2.5, making under the clear lean here.