Kosovo vs Andorra
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 7 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosovo Win Value | 1/5 1.19 | 79% | 89% | +10% |
| Draw | 5/1 6.25 | 15% | 7% | -8% |
| Andorra Win | 14/1 15.25 | 6% | 4% | -2% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Kosovo 100% win rate, avg 3.4 goals scored at home; Andorra avg 0.62 goals scored, 0.7 conceded overall
H2H: Kosovo 1W 1D in last 2, including a 3-0 away win; no Andorra wins recorded
Stakes: Friendly match but Kosovo playing at home with momentum and full squad; Andorra limited attacking threat
Betting: BTTS unlikely — Andorra have been shut out in recent games and Kosovo's defence has been solid; Over 2.5 very likely given Kosovo's xG of 4.5 and prolific recent scoring
⚔️ Head to Head
Kosovo beat Andorra 3-0 in Oct 2023 and drew 1-1 at home in Mar 2023; Kosovo hold the edge and the 3-0 away win suggests an even larger home margin is plausible.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The 3-1 scoreline projects both teams scoring. The engine's underlying probability model gives both sides enough offensive output to find the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
With Kosovo's xG at 4.5, a recent scoring average of 3.4 goals per game, and a Poisson model placing 4-0 and 5-0 as the top two most likely scorelines, total goals going well over 2.5 is strongly supported — this fixture has the hallmarks of a comfortable, high-scoring home win.