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Friendlies

Niger vs Mauritania

Mon 8 Jun 2026
Final Score
0 – 1
Our prediction missed
Result
Exact score
BTTS
Over 2.5
CleverScores Prediction
1 – 1
Draw Medium
Niger
31%
Draw
44%
Mauritania
25%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 9 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection Odds Market % Model % Edge
Niger Win 7/4 2.75 34% 31% -3%
Draw Value 15/8 2.90 32% 44% +12%
Mauritania Win 13/8 2.65 34% 25% -9%
1 value market identified in this fixture.
Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Niger averaging 1.01 goals scored with moderate home form (DWL); Mauritania averaging just 0.31 goals scored with poor away record (LDDDLL)
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: International friendly with nothing at stake for either side — both mid-table African nations, low motivation context leans toward draw
Betting: Bookmaker odds split relatively evenly (Home 36%, Away 38%) with draw implied as a real possibility; low xG values (0.94 vs 0.75) support under 2.5 total goals

⚔️ Head to Head

Limited data

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: Yes
Despite Mauritania's poor away scoring record, they have managed goals in recent fixtures (2-1, 1-1 results) and Niger's defense, while decent, has conceded in multiple recent games including 1-1 and 2-3 outcomes. The friendly context reduces defensive intensity, giving both sides a reasonable chance to find the net once each.

Over 2.5 Goals: No
With Niger's xG at 0.94 and Mauritania's at 0.75, the combined expected goals sit well below 2.5. Both teams have low scoring averages, Mauritania in particular averaging just 0.31 goals scored per game. A 1-1 scoreline produces only 2 total goals, firmly under the 2.5 threshold, consistent with the low-scoring profile of both sides.

CleverScore confidence: Medium
Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org