Panama vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 11 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panama Win | 5/2 3.50 | 27% | 30% | +3% |
| Draw Value | 9/4 3.15 | 30% | 39% | +9% |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina Win | 11/10 2.15 | 43% | 31% | -12% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Panama DWWWL at home (DWW), averaging 5.09 goals scored — high output but conceding 2.34; Bosnia WL in recent games with 4-1 win showing attacking threat
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: International friendly with no competitive stakes for either side — low motivation differential, both squads fully available and well rested
Betting: BTTS supported by both teams' attacking records and near-equal xG; Under 2.5 likely given friendly context, near-zero ELO-driven dominance, and model projecting sub-1 xG per side
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — no significant H2H history available to influence goals projection meaningfully.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Both teams carry genuine attacking threat: Panama's prolific home scoring and Bosnia's 4-1 recent result demonstrate each side can find the net. With xG nearly identical (0.79 vs 0.75) and both defences exposed at times, both teams are expected to score at least once.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
Despite both teams scoring, the model projects low xG values (0.79 and 0.75) and this is a low-stakes friendly with no competitive pressure. Total expected goals sit well below 2.5, making under 2.5 goals the more likely outcome in what should be a tight, measured encounter.