Sierra Leone vs Liberia

Sat 6 Jun 2026

Final Score

1 – 0

Our prediction got the result right

✓ Result

✓ Exact score

✓ BTTS

✓ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

1 – 0

Home Win Medium

Sierra Leone

33%

Draw

39%

Liberia

28%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 9 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Sierra Leone Win	6/5 2.16	43%	33%	-10%
Draw Value	2/1 3.00	30%	39%	+9%
Liberia Win	5/2 3.45	27%	28%	+1%

1 value market identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Sierra Leone avg 1.08 scored at home with recent wins possible; Liberia avg 0.72 scored with poor away record LLLDW
H2H: 1.7 goals per game average across last 7 meetings — consistently low-scoring rivalry; neutral overall dominance
Stakes: International friendly with nothing concrete at stake, but home pride factor slightly favours Sierra Leone
Betting: BTTS unlikely given Liberia's low scoring rate on the road and Sierra Leone's defensive issues balanced by Liberia's inability to convert; Under 2.5 supported by xG totals of 0.79+0.75=1.54 and H2H low-scoring trend

⚔️ Head to Head

Low-scoring rivalry averaging just 1.7 goals per game over last 7 meetings; recent encounters include 1-1 and 1-2 results, confirming tight margins — home side has an edge but nothing dominant

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: No
Liberia's away form (LLLDW) and their low goals-scored average of 0.72 per game suggests they are unlikely to find the net against Sierra Leone at home; Sierra Leone's defensive record is weak but Liberia lack the attacking firepower away from home to capitalise, making it more likely Sierra Leone keep a clean sheet in a low-key friendly

Over 2.5 Goals: No
Combined xG of just 1.54 and a H2H average of 1.7 goals per game strongly point toward under 2.5 goals; both teams are tactically cautious in this derby-style West African rivalry and neither carries enough attacking threat to push the game beyond two goals total

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org