Standard Liege vs Charleroi
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 14 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege Win | 11/10 2.10 | 45% | 38% | -7% |
| Draw | 9/4 3.34 | 28% | 28% | ±0% |
| Charleroi Win Value | 5/2 3.40 | 27% | 34% | +7% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Standard Liege averaging 1.9 goals scored at home with wins of 2-1, 5-0, 2-1 in recent home games; Charleroi averaging 1.1 goals scored but 0.87 conceded — compact away side capable of grabbing one.
H2H: Last 8 meetings perfectly split 3-3-2; average 2 goals per game; Standard Liege won most recent H2H 2-1 and won at home 3-1 in Oct 2025.
Stakes: Season finale intensity boosts both sides; no clear relegation/promotion skew identified but home pride and fan pressure favours Standard Liege.
Betting: BTTS likely given Charleroi's away form showing goals in recent trips and Standard Liege's attacking output; total goals lean toward 2.5–3 range making over 2.5 credible but marginal.
⚔️ Head to Head
Last 8 meetings perfectly split — 3 Standard Liege wins, 3 Charleroi wins, 2 draws. Average just 2 goals per game. Standard Liege won the last H2H 2-1 at Charleroi and won 3-1 at home in Oct 2025, giving them a slight recent edge in this fixture.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Both teams are expected to score. Standard Liege's home attack is prolific (1.9 avg goals scored) and Charleroi have shown they can find the net on the road, scoring in their last two away wins. H2H history also consistently features goals from both sides, reinforcing a BTTS outcome.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The predicted scoreline of 2-1 produces exactly 3 goals, marginally supporting over 2.5. Standard Liege's attacking output at home and Charleroi's capacity to contribute offensively combine to push the total just above the 2.5 threshold, though H2H averaging only 2 goals per game keeps this close to the line.