Switzerland vs Jordan
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 11 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland Win Value | 2/9 1.22 | 76% | 89% | +13% |
| Draw | 5/1 5.80 | 16% | 7% | -9% |
| Jordan Win | 10/1 11.00 | 8% | 4% | -4% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- ⏱️ Rest advantage: Switzerland (354d) vs Jordan (163d) — Switzerland significantly fresher
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Switzerland WWWD at home, averaging 3+ goals per game; Jordan mixed away form WWWLLL
H2H: Limited data — no strong H2H trend to override model
Stakes: Friendly but Switzerland significantly fresher (354 days rest vs 163), motivation edge to hosts looking sharp
Betting: BTTS unlikely — Jordan's attack (avg 1.83 goals, poor away record) faces a tight Swiss defence; Over 2.5 strongly supported by Switzerland's xG of 4.5 and consistent high-scoring home performances
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — insufficient H2H history to identify a clear trend; statistical model and current form are primary drivers
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The 3-1 scoreline projects both teams scoring. The engine's underlying probability model gives both sides enough offensive output to find the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
Switzerland's xG of 4.5 and recent scoring run (4-0, 4-2, 3-1) strongly support over 2.5 goals. A predicted 4-0 scoreline totals 4 goals, well clear of the 2.5 threshold, driven by Swiss attacking dominance and Jordan's vulnerability away from home.