Togo vs Benin
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 8 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Togo Win | 11/8 2.40 | 39% | 29% | -10% |
| Draw Value | 2/1 3.05 | 30% | 45% | +15% |
| Benin Win | 15/8 2.92 | 31% | 26% | -5% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Togo inconsistent (WLLLDD) but capable of scoring; Benin low-scoring overall but not shut out in H2H
H2H: 5 draws in 8 meetings, avg 1.5 goals/game, most recent was 1-1
Stakes: International friendly with nothing competitive on the line — both teams mid-table in motivation, favours a draw
Betting: BTTS supported by both teams finding net in H2H; Under 2.5 supported by low xG totals (0.79+0.75) and H2H averaging only 1.5 goals per game
⚔️ Head to Head
Strongly draw-prone fixture — 5 of last 8 meetings ended in draws, most recently 1-1 in November 2024. Average of just 1.5 goals per game makes high-scoring outcomes unlikely.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Both teams have scored in recent H2H meetings, including the 1-1 in Nov 2024 and the 1-1 in Mar 2022. Togo average 1.68 goals scored per game and Benin have demonstrated they can find the net against this opposition specifically, making it reasonable for both sides to get on the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
With a combined xG of just 1.54, H2H averaging only 1.5 goals per game, and this being a low-stakes friendly, the match is firmly projected to stay under 2.5 goals. Neither team's recent form suggests they will produce a high-scoring encounter.