Congo DR vs Uzbekistan
Likely line-up






















📖 The Preview
Congo DR go into this as the favourites and that edge should be enough to see them over the line in what looks like a tight, low-scoring affair. The numbers give them a 42% chance of winning compared to just 23% for Uzbekistan, and with both the BTTS and over 2.5 goals predictions pointing firmly to no, this has the feel of a cagey, hard-fought contest. One goal deciding it makes plenty of sense, with Congo DR nicking it and Uzbekistan struggling to find a way back into the game.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 12 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Congo DR Win | 4/5 1.78 | 53% | 42% | -11% |
| Draw Value | 11/4 3.88 | 25% | 35% | +10% |
| Uzbekistan Win | 10/3 4.30 | 22% | 23% | +1% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🆕 Fresh standings — no meaningful positions established yet, both sides starting on equal footing
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Congo DR LDWW at home — solid recent run; Uzbekistan LLLD away — worrying defensive record on road
H2H: Limited historical data between these sides
Stakes: World Cup group stage — both sides motivated but Uzbekistan's away struggles are a significant handicap
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — no meaningful recent H2H history to draw firm conclusions from.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline totals 1 goals, keeping it under 2.5.
📅 More Upcoming Fixtures
📊 Group K Standings
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Portugal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
Live Group K table, built from completed results · full group page →