Egypt vs Iran
Likely line-up






















📖 The Preview
These two are incredibly evenly matched, which tells you everything about why a 1-1 feels right here. The win probabilities are basically coin-flip territory, with Egypt just shading it but Iran only a whisker behind. Egypt lose Hossam Abdelmaguid through suspension, which weakens their options, and with both teams expected to find the net but nothing particularly expansive predicted in terms of goals, you're looking at a tight, competitive contest where neither side can quite close the other out.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt Win | 6/4 2.47 | 38% | 35% | -3% |
| Draw | 13/8 2.60 | 37% | 31% | -6% |
| Iran Win Value | 3/1 3.90 | 25% | 34% | +9% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🆕 Fresh standings — no meaningful positions established yet, both sides starting on equal footing
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Egypt mixed (WDLWDW, avg 2.37 scored) but suspension hurts attack; Iran consistent (DDWWWLWLD, solid defense 0.99 conceded). H2H: Limited data available. Stakes: World Cup group stage — both sides highly motivated, reducing complacency. Betting: BTTS supported by both teams' ability to score in recent fixtures; Under 2.5 favoured given Marciniak's disruptive refereeing style and Iran's tight defensive structure.
Betting: both teams to score, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — insufficient head-to-head history to draw strong trends, defaulting to form and ELO for prediction.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-1 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.
📅 More Upcoming Fixtures
📊 Group G Standings
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Iran | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Belgium | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 |
Live Group G table, built from completed results · full group page →